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Context has alot to do with the situation.
Are you in the middle of the season or is this a playoff?
What kind of offense does YOUR team have? Will your team have a legitimate chance to score 4 or more runs or are you already behind the 8-ball?
How fatigued is your pitcher already? How fatigued is your bullpen? What is the record of the starting pitcher? Is he your ace?
Trust me, I've attended real life games where I've seen last years Cy Young winner get shelled in the first two innings and get pulled. Other times, I've seen Tito leave a starter in and he "rights the ship" and does fine going forward..
At the very least, if you use the bullpen option, I would at least get a long reliever warming up. If your starter does ok, going forward you can always sit the long man back down.
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