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Old 11-11-2019, 08:01 AM   #15
Tram2Whitaker
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Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 619
Sometimes, it's just the team riding the hot streak going in. Examples IRL, would be the 2019 Nationals, 2006 Cardinals, and 1997 Marlins.

Often, in my sims, I'll start to cringe when I see my team that's been leading its division all season long, start to slide and coast backwards into the playoffs. That's usually a good indicator of an early exit.

For example, I had a team that had already won 100 games and a 22 game lead in the NL East, only to lose every single game in the final two weeks. That team took 5 games to win the NLDS (losing game 1, further fueling the cringe), only to get swept in the NLCS by the same Brewers team we had swept in the regular season.

Was it fatigue? Probably. Was it a statistical anomally? Maybe. Or maybe, it was just a hot team, going against a cold one.
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