Thread: After all these years I still don't understand WAR
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Old 09-09-2019, 02:22 PM   #50
Cobra Mgr
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CBeisbol View Post
Here's that chart that you'll never address



https://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/20...ird-order-wins

WAR explains 86% of the variance in team wins.

Go ahead and explain how you think a human cannonball is 86% of the way to flying.


EDIT
And another, more comprehensive, look
FanGraphs' 2016 version of WAR explained 75% of the variance in teams from 1985 to 2013.
https://community.fangraphs.com/usin...team-position/

Yes, it's lower. Because WAR is getting better. Also, the data collected back in 1985 was worse than in 2016.
86% is not 100%. Thanks for proving my point.
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Last edited by Cobra Mgr; 09-09-2019 at 02:23 PM.
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