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I usually try to avoid arbitration just because I don't like the uncertainty of it. It's a little easier with OOTP9's arbitration estimates, but before that, you had no idea what an arbiter might give the guy.
That being said, I have yet to offer an arb eligible guy more than a 3 or 4 year deal. And I've been bitten on some of those deals already. I just do it so I know for sure what my payroll will be the following year.
UNLESS the demands of the arb eligible player are completely unreasonable. Then I either dump them or go to arb if the estimate is more reasonable than what they're asking for.
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