Quote:
Originally Posted by max venerabel
I looked around on the internet, and found an article stating that if you were to flip a coin 1000 times, an occurrence of 550 heads or tails is like 99.7 percentile chance.
https://math.stackexchange.com/quest...oin-1000-times
I'm no math guy, but I think that's only a 10% deviation from the mean.
If Mike Trout was regularly hitting between .275 and .225 (in a fully neutral environment), seems like that would be remarkable, according to the math. Not sure it matters how good or bad the competition is, as long as its static. |
PT is not a coin flip.
If it were, consider Mike Trout to be heads and Perfect Pedro to be tails.
Now Trout might have a 75% chance of coming up heads because he's really good. And Pedro might have a 75% chance of coming up tails because he's really good. What happens when they face each other and they both have a 75% success chance?
They'll both underperform by 25% on average.