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Old 05-10-2019, 10:29 AM   #20
TPinrose
Minors (Double A)
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 199
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garlon View Post
A streak of 0-25 is very improbably. A team that wins even 30% of it's games only has a 1 in 10,000 shot at such a streak. The odds of losing a single game for a 30% win team is 70%, and 0.7^24 is .0001.

That is the probability for a single team.


Now consider the installed base of the game, and every team in each game. Now consider the number of seasons simmed. The chances of a 0-25 streak become much, much larger- to the point that it is likely to happen. The only question at that point is whether the player comes here to inform us of the streak.
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