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NFL first round picks are the most overvalued commodity in all of sports and it's not close.
The Giants could have gotten Rosen with a 2nd round pick (possibly even less than that) and instead decide to burn a top 10 pick on Daniel Jones. This makes absolutely no sense. There is no way that any scouts in that organization have a higher grade on Jones than they did Rosen last year, but the Giants went for the new shiny QB anyway.
NFL GMs do not have realistic expectations of what their hit rate is going to be with their 1st round picks. The way they are valued, they must be assuming that every 1st rounder becomes a perennial pro bowler
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