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Old 10-08-2018, 10:57 AM   #108
DustyElbows
Minors (Triple A)
 
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 216
So, three teams left to go.

Expected time until the first new winner is 10 years (30 teams / 3 possible new winners)
Expected time, after that, until the next new winner is 15 years (30 teams / 2 possible new winners)
Expected time, after that, until the final winner is 30 years (30 teams / 1 possible new winner)

So, on average, we will still have 10+15+30 = 55 years to go. That would put us at 2143.
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