OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Personal Opinion: Using Zips is the worst

jimmysthebestcop · 03-04-2019, 03:04 AM

1st Yelich is a career .297 hitter thats 790 games.
2nd zips, steamers, atc all of the predictions based tools are mostly identical to one another.

But lets take wrc+ and woba

career - woba :.363 wrc+:130
Zips 2019 prediction : woba:.384 wrc+:141

So Zips has hit offensive production rated significantly higher than his career numbers.

790 MLB games last years 147 games out of that 790. Meaning 2018 was career best across the board. If you were to graph it you would have 2018 out in no mans land not near any other of his years. So 2018 looks like a huge anomaly until he does it 2 more times.

Most of his Zips 2019 numbers are higher than his career totals. He had 1 insane season last year. Other than that he was putting up consistent numbers for 650 games of his career.

In fact Yelich has only hit 330 once and that was in A+ ball with a large sample size being 100+ games. Thats it. No one in the world will have him close to hitting .330 in 2018 and not even in 2019. Maybe he does, maybe he doesn't.

That's what makes baseball great. No one knows what will happen on the next pitch.

03-04-2019, 03:04 AM	#10
jimmysthebestcop Banned Join Date: Jun 2018 Posts: 1,728 Infractions: 0/2 (5)	1st Yelich is a career .297 hitter thats 790 games. 2nd zips, steamers, atc all of the predictions based tools are mostly identical to one another. But lets take wrc+ and woba career - woba :.363 wrc+:130 Zips 2019 prediction : woba:.384 wrc+:141 So Zips has hit offensive production rated significantly higher than his career numbers. 790 MLB games last years 147 games out of that 790. Meaning 2018 was career best across the board. If you were to graph it you would have 2018 out in no mans land not near any other of his years. So 2018 looks like a huge anomaly until he does it 2 more times. Most of his Zips 2019 numbers are higher than his career totals. He had 1 insane season last year. Other than that he was putting up consistent numbers for 650 games of his career. In fact Yelich has only hit 330 once and that was in A+ ball with a large sample size being 100+ games. Thats it. No one in the world will have him close to hitting .330 in 2018 and not even in 2019. Maybe he does, maybe he doesn't. That's what makes baseball great. No one knows what will happen on the next pitch.