Quote:
Originally Posted by atabakin
The odds of pulling each should be the same, but there are bound to be some cards pulled more frequently than others. A couple weeks ago on the TWIPT stream Kris noted the diamond cards that had been pulled the fewest times. Every diamond historical card has the same chance of being pulled, but statistically the frequency of each card pulled will fall under a normal distribution. The same thing happens with the iron cards.
For example, if the average iron unsung hero was pulled 10 times, most will have been pulled between 8 and 12 times. Fewer would have been pulled 6-7 or 13-14 times. Still fewer 5 or less or 15 or more. But there are those outliers.
EDIT: The market is telling us which cards are rare, or at least which cards were rare at the start. If a card was initially rare and had a higher price, subsequent cards will see that market price and be listed at that high price even if the frequency pulled comes closer to the mean.
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They should be, but they aren't. Markus said before that Iron Historicals (all are Unsung) have different odds than other cards in order to make them not too common (you'd average 1 to 2 a pack if they were 30% of Irons). And it's clear that there are even different odds for the Closers. After watching Unsung Irons for 2 months or whatever, and owning all but 1, I've can tell that it's more than anecdotal that Unsung Iron Closers are some of the rarest cards in the game.