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Originally Posted by jdw
The park is killing him. Double his road numbers, and it would be 32 HR... in the first half of the season.
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That's really a shock because HR factors at Braves Field have actually improved for RH batters... went up from 67 to 77... the people getting hurt league-wide are LH sluggers... For the Braves, LH HR factor dropped from 67 to 48.
I think everyone's overexagerating the factor change. Only people negatively affected in any park (I checked) are all LH power #'s and there are few LH sluggers. The only one worth mentioning is Rauch.
I think everyone should take a second look:
http://southernbaseball.com/modules....t=710&start=15
HR factors used to be averaged for RH and LH's... Now RH's factors went up & LH's went down ONLY in parks that weren't active as of about 2002 or 2003... IOW, Fenway, Yankee, Wrigley's factors didn't change...
As for Oscar, I'm shocked to see his home HR #'s down at anytime since Ebbets Field was slightly above avg for HR's (102)... Perhaps that's because there were other BETTER HR parks in the NL, like Wrigley (127 for RH), Polo (138), Shibe (110) and Sportsman's (104)... Then look at the other 3: Forbes (88), Crosley (80) and Braves (67)... Makes Ebbett's 102 look more like AVERAGE than GOOD to HR hitters.
And as for Schwarz, I'm sure his park helped since Shibe was a 110.
EDIT: The people REALLY effected by parks have been the Giants long list of sluggers. Ditty, Kohse and Jarry. Froggy Borgert hit 40 there when he returned. Then Johnson, Lamberty, Howard, et al.