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Old 12-22-2004, 10:11 PM   #551
CONN CHRIS
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Ok, I won't bore you all and belabor the point any more than this. But here is a clasic example of what makes this Starw division tough to rate:

La Ode Zaenudin Basez. A journeyman at best with a career record of 4-10-1.

Muhammad Rachman. 49-7-3, one of the better fighters in the division and the current IBF champ


Basez' one draw is with guess who. A 6 round affair, early in their careers, but still a draw against one of the big boys of the division.

It gets better though. Basez won the Indonesian title with one of those 4 career wins. Guess who he beat? A 12 round decision and Rachman was 20-5-1 at the time.

Ok, maybe this guy just had Rachman's number for some reason. Perhaps, but this type of thing happens all over this division ALL the time.

Now, if I rate Basez to perform properly against Rachman, he will walk though the division - that just can't be. But, he did have a 1-1-1 record against a damn good fighter. Maybe the answer is to rate them as I think they should be without respect to this unpredictable stuff and use the conditioning adjustment noted in the prior thread to allow these uncertainties that are the norm to play a role.

We shall see, this is fun!

CONN
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