Thread: Win Shares
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Old 06-06-2002, 03:13 PM   #34
Jason Moyer
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</font><blockquote><font size="1" face="Verdana, Arial">quote:</font><hr /><font size="2" face="Verdana, Arial">Originally posted by OldGiants:
<strong>Thanks for all your posts, Jason. I'll definitely have to do more than browse the book.

I'm not convinced about win shares, but I'll read more.</strong></font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="Verdana, Arial">I don't mean to be redundant but I do want to say that:

1. I don't agree with them 100% (mostly because I'd like to see the data he's basing the intrinsic weights on)

2. Because so much of the data has to be figured by estimating, they aren't completely accurate on a historical level. I believe James says that a difference of 3 or less is not worth arguing over because of the estimations that are required in the system. Hopefully this work will mean that STATS at least will track more meaningful stats (independent putouts by first basemen, non-pitcher assists by first basemen, independent putouts by catchers, runners on first base, etc). That way, at least in real baseball, we could calculate win shares without estimating anything.

Jason
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