Just as a quick check, I looked at this year's injuries so far and found 11 potential CEI or SEI injuries / surguries after 6 weeks so far. That would be an average of about 2 per week per 30 teams or around 50 per year based on the 30 team size of the MLB.
I also thought I'd add this from Kaat's book...
Quote:
Q: Since you retired in after the 1983 season, very few pitchers have come close to pitching for 15 or 18 years, much less pitching for more than 20. Why do you think so few pitchers these days display the durability that you did?
A: Two major reasons: money and experience. If a pitcher is successful early in his career he doesn't have to stay around as long because his family is financially set. There simply isn't the motivation to stay around so long. Someone like Roger Clemens has stuck around for years because there are milestones he wants to hit that keep him going. The second reason is experience. There are more career-ending injuries today. While a fluke injury can wreck any career, I think a large part to these injuries is that so many baseball players didn't play much baseball as a kid. Instead of playing baseball all the time and learning how to avoid injury or how to listen to your body when you're pushing it too far on a certain movement, they're out playing basketball or soccer or tennis or some other sport. When I was a kid, we only played baseball and that helped our bodies develop better for the sport.
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Since the adjustment in OOTP has 5 levels, I would not classify this as anything being broke as much as knowing where to set it to get the results you expect. In an online league, if the majority of GMs feel it should be changed, the commissioner should listen.
Oh... and randomization can result in "clumps" just as it can result in dry spells.