http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/player...ontext=batting
Arod has averaged 52HR's per year over the last 3 years and has 345 career hr's right now.
If he averages 52 homers over the next 3 years he will hit number 501 the last week of season 2006 at 31years 3 mos of age. If he is 2 shy of this average add 6 months to his age when he gets it.
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