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Old 03-11-2004, 11:18 PM   #17
mlyons
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Quote:
Originally posted by sporr
According to this, the difference between a conventional batting order and the best batting order (descending OBP) is only .4 games per season.

http://www.alumni.caltech.edu/~raj/w...tingOrder.html
The problem with this article is that it completely fails to account for speed in its simulation, whether through stolen bases, advancing an extra base, and even triples. Speed, of course, is one of the primary considerations in a conventional batting order. I know that a number of people feel that speed and steals are overrated statistical factors, but they can't simply be ignored, especially when testing a lineup based partly on speed against one that's not. I wonder what the difference between conventional batting order and descending OBP would be if speed were taken into account?
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