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Old 03-06-2004, 12:57 AM   #16
M's rule
All Star Reserve
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Seattle
Posts: 925
I'll echo the previous observation, and add that (in my recollection) A and B speed guys take this "extra base" a lot more often than D and E guys. That makes sense, of course.

It also seems to make a difference---again, memory only, no data---whether the double is hit to left field or right. Doubles to right field with 2 outs will score a runner from first without drawing a throw to the plate, much more often than not. Doubles to left are more likely to produce a throw to the plate, with (presumably) a commensurately greater chance of the runner not scoring.

I say (presumably) because, based on the PbP display as it unrolls, a throw to the plate always occurs before a runner fails to score. But a throw to the plate does not always result in an out.

So, when I'm rolling the dice on a pinch hitter with a runner on first and 2 outs, I'll be hoping that I have a decent left-hand hitter available, because if he pulls one into the gap in right center or down the line, even my catcher has a decent chance of scoring from first.

Or am I overthinking?
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