THE HOT CORNER
Baseball coverage from the inside — Sacramento Prayers and the FBL
By Claude Playball | Baseball Insider & Analyst | Host, "Hot Corner" Podcast
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October 4 – October 8, 1996 | American League Division Series Recap | Sacramento Advances 3-1 | ALCS Preview: Sacramento vs Columbus
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CHOI, MUSCO, PEREZ SHINE BRIGHT IN DIVISION SERIES. THE ALCS STARTS THURSDAY.
The Sacramento Prayers are in the American League Championship Series for the third consecutive year. They got there the hard way — down one-nothing after Game One, Rubalcava knocked around in ways the Hot Corner did not see coming, Andretti allowing six runs in five and two-thirds innings of Game Two, a thirty-one-year-old catcher hitting a walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth to tie the series, then winning Games Three and Four on the road against a ninety-seven-win team with the season on the line.
Twenty-one years old Ha-joon Choi was named series MVP. He hit .500 in the series with three home runs and five RBI. In July he walked off Columbus Heaven with a pinch-hit three-run homer to extend a win streak, and in October he carried his club in ALDS.
The Columbus Heaven are waiting at Cathedral Stadium on Thursday. They won one hundred and three games in the regular season, and most importantly — they have Rich Flores in their rotation.
Rich Flores is a serious problem for Sacramento, and this problem has not been yet resolved. The Prayers need an answer to this problem by Friday night, as it is expected that Flores will be starting for Columbus in Game Two of the series.
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DID YOU CATCH THAT SERIES?
Game One — October 4, Cathedral Stadium — Detroit wins 5-2
Rubalcava allowed three home runs in seven and a third innings. Rubio homered in the second. Rodriguez homered in the second. Tattersall homered in the sixth off Rubalcava's fastball. The man who led all of baseball in ERA this year allowed four runs to a lineup he had faced only once in the regular season. Sacramento scored two — Choi's solo shot in the seventh being the only extra-base hit with consequence. Kilbourne held seven innings and Lopez closed it. Five to two, Detroit.
Lets say this honestly — a very disappointing outcome, desided in large by three home runs allowed by the best pitcher in baseball this year, two of them in the same inning. Postseason games produce outcomes the regular season does not predict, and this was one of them. The Prayers went home down in the series with Andretti going in Game Two and Galarza — the third-best ERA in the entire league — on the other side.
Game Two — October 5, Cathedral Stadium — Sacramento wins 7-6
Andretti allowed six runs in five and two-thirds innings. Galarza allowed four runs in six and a third. And then Stewart Tattersall hit a three-run home run in the top of the sixth inning off Andretti with two outs and two on to make it six to four, Detroit, and the Cathedral Stadium crowd went quiet.
Rodriguez hit a two-run homer off Galarza in the second. Choi hit a solo shot in the fourth. The Prayers were down two entering the eighth. Mollohan doubled to cut it to one. Then the ninth: Scott held two and a third innings scoreless. Then Medina came in and Musco came to the plate with one out and one on and two strikes and hit a home run to right field.
Edwin Musco with a walk-off in postseason at the age of thirty-six! Seven to six, Sacramento!
The Hot Corner will also note that Cruz injured his throwing arm in Game Two and played through it in Games Three and Four, which is the kind of footnote that earns larger print if the ALCS goes the wrong direction.
Game Three — October 7, Detroit Fields — Sacramento wins 8-7
Strickler allowed nine hits and six runs in five innings at Detroit in forty-six-degree weather. He also took the win. This is how events unfolded: Perez hit a three-run home run in the first inning off Kubweza on a first-pitch changeup, Florez hit a two-run homer in the third, and the Prayers were up eight to one before Strickler allowed the momentum to shift back toward Detroit. The Preachers scored four in the fifth off Strickler and the game became eight to five and then eight to seven and St. Clair held two and two-thirds innings and Medina sealed it. Eight to seven.
Perez was two for five with four RBI. Florez was three for four with two RBI. At the moment the series most needed offense, two players who were not on this roster in July provided it. Florez arrived at the July 31st deadline. He is hitting .545 in this ALDS.
Game Four — October 8, Detroit Fields — Sacramento wins 7-3
Espenoza went seven innings and allowed one run. He scattered seven hits, walked one, and produced a postseason line of 1.29 ERA in the series. The lineup scored early and often — Choi doubled in the first, homered in the third, cruised into the series MVP announcement afterward at five-for-ten with three home runs. Lopez homered in the sixth. Lozano cleared the bases with a two-run double in the fifth when the game was being decided.
Detroit's bullpen completely lost the strike zone in the fifth inning: Vasquez faced three Sacramento batters, and allowed three runs. Kilbourne entered and held three and two-thirds but the damage was done.
Gonzalez was injured while throwing the first pitch of the game and did not return. The twenty-two-game winner who threw eight innings in the Wild Card round exited before recording an out. Keegan was also injured while pitching. Seven to three, Sacramento. ALCS.
The Hot Corner should also note: Musco was ejected in the ninth inning for arguing a strike call. He is going to the ALCS with an ejection and knee soreness from Perez on the runway and a throwing-arm situation that the training staff is managing. This is the third year of documenting Musco in October. The drama around him is a constant factor.
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THE STORIES THAT DEFINED THE SERIES
Choi at twenty-one years old is the ALDS MVP and the question now is whether that carries into the ALCS — He was in the minors two years ago. He walked off Columbus in July. He hit .500 against a legitimate postseason team with three home runs. I've been following his development all year and the specific thing that stands out in the ALDS is not just the production but the composure — he batted .500 in a four-game postseason series without appearing to be overwhelmed by it. That is not a given for a twenty-one-year-old.
Musco's walk-off home run in Game Two saved the series — Down one game, down two runs in the ninth, with Andretti having allowed six runs and the road lineup card set up unfavorably for Game Three. The walk-off happened at the specific moment of maximum series jeopardy. Without it the Prayers go to Detroit down two games to none needing to win three straight against Galarza, Gonzalez, and Kilbourne. With it, the series was tied.
Andretti's second-half and postseason patterns remain the honest unresolved concern — His postseason ERA across Games Two is 9.53. His regular season ERA is 3.52. The gap between those two numbers is not a function of one bad outing — it is a pattern. The Hot Corner is watching this carefully as the rotation sets for the ALCS. Rubalcava pitches Game One. Whoever pitches Game Two faces Flores two days later. Whether Andretti is in the lineup for Game Two or Game Three of the ALCS is the most significant rotation decision Aces will make before Thursday.
Perez has knee soreness and is day-to-day with one week estimated — He hit .438 in the ALDS with a home run and five RBI. The knee injury happened while he was running the bases in Game Four's fifth inning. He finished the game. Perez is listed as day-to-day with one week projected, which means his status for ALCS Games One and Two on October 10th and 11th is genuinely uncertain. MacDonald is available. The lineup without Perez is meaningfully thinner against a Columbus staff.
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THE ALCS OPPONENT — WHAT COLUMBUS BRINGS
The Columbus Heaven won one hundred and three games. They beat Houston three to one in the ALDS. They score runs seemingly at will. They have the second-highest batting average in the American League at .287 and the third-highest OBP.
The specific lineup threat: Aguilar hit .423 with four home runs over his last seven games and is the hottest hitter entering this series. Salcevo is cold — .095 over his last five games — which is the one vulnerability in a lineup that otherwise has no obvious weak spot. Fujimoto finished at forty home runs, Aguilar at forty-two.
The rotation features Montalvo in series opener, he is seventeen and eleven with a 4.20 ERA, which is the most favorable matchup of the ALCS rotation cycle for Sacramento. Game Two features Rich Flores.
Flores. Sixteen and five, 4.20 ERA. The number that matters: across four starts against Sacramento this year he allowed fewer than four combined runs over his final three appearances. The Hot Corner does not have a complete explanation for why this specific pitcher dominates this specific lineup. The scouting observation across multiple game logs is that his offspeed command produces soft contact at a rate that neutralizes the Prayers' pull-heavy swing tendencies. Jimmy Aces has certainly seen what we all have seen. The preparation has presumably been ongoing.
Schlageter is cold — 16.20 ERA over his last two starts. If the series goes deep and Schlageter starts Games Four or Five, that is a specific advantage for the Sacramento lineup.
Columbus's closer Bruce has twelve saves and a 0.00 ERA over his last seventeen games. He is the most dominant late-game arm in this postseason bracket and the specific threat to Sacramento's late-inning run-manufacturing.
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THE INBOX
From Selena Boateng of Sacramento's Tahoe Park neighborhood, a middle school science teacher who has spent nineteen years explaining to twelve-year-olds that observation and hypothesis are not the same thing, who asks: "What do Rubalcava's three allowed home runs in Game One mean for the ALCS?"
Selena, the most honest answer is that it is one game and the same pitcher went twenty-one and seven with a 2.85 ERA this year. The ALDS postseason can produce outcomes the regular season does not predict — Tattersall hit .500 in the series and will probably hit .240 next April. Rubalcava goes in Game One of the ALCS on full rest against a Columbus lineup that is not Tattersall and Rubio and Rodriguez. The regular season evidence on Rubalcava is overwhelming. One Game One does not override it.
From Rashida Coleman of West Sacramento, a physical therapist who specializes in knee rehabilitation and who has, she informs me, been watching the Perez situation with professional concern since the fifth inning of Game Four, who asks: "Is Perez playing Thursday?"
Rashida, the injury is listed as day-to-day with one week estimated, which in October means they will determine readiness on a game-by-game basis. Thursday is two days away. My reading of the timeline is that he will be available but managed carefully, which in practice probably means he plays but does not run aggressively and the team trusts the depth of the lineup around him. The scenario I am watching: if he cannot run, the stolen-base game — which is the Prayers' primary offensive weapon beyond the home run — is significantly constrained.
From Marcos Delgadillo of Elk Grove, a former semi-professional chess player who now teaches the game at a senior center and who says October baseball is the only other context in which he has seen people make genuinely consequential decisions under acute time pressure, who asks: "How do we solve the Flores problem in Game Two?"
Marcos, the Hot Corner has been filing this question all year and I want to be direct: I do not have a clean answer. Flores commands his curveball at a rate that disrupts the Prayers' first-pitch pull approach. The counter that is theoretically available is an opposite-field plate discipline — taking the first pitch, working deeper into counts, using the same patience-first approach that works against conventional hard throwers. Whether the Sacramento lineup can make that adjustment against Flores after having seen his breaking ball four times this year without solving it is the most important unanswered question in this ALCS. I expect Aces to have an answer. I look forward to finding out what it is.
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Game One of the ALCS is Thursday, October 10th at Cathedral Stadium. Jordan Rubalcava takes the ball against Antonio Montalvo. The Columbus Heaven are one hundred and three wins in regular season and one postseason series win already this October.
Perez is day-to-day. Cruz's arm is being managed. Musco avoided one game suspension following the ejection — great piece of news.
Got a question for the mailbag? Find the Hot Corner wherever you get your podcasts.
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Claude Playball is a baseball insider and analyst and host of the Hot Corner podcast, based in Sacramento, California.