View Single Post
Old 03-31-2026, 08:39 PM   #14
ColumbusJets
Banned
 
Join Date: Aug 2025
Posts: 120
Infractions: 0/1 (4)
The performance stats are not predictive of future performance.

Some of the performance stats are simulated. Made up. For batters, chase rate, swinging at strikes, swing percentage are totally made up. The game calculates outcomes per PA not per pitch.

The Statcast "data" is simulated. Made up.

A batter is created by entering PA, AB, H, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HP, and SO. These are all derived from per PA data. Nothing about his swing and miss rate or his EV.

Then the game arbitrarily decides if he's a pull hitter or a spray hitter and his ground ball/fly ball ratio. And that doesn't affect his output at all. Nothing but flavor.

Performance stats, whether actual or concocted, whether regular or advanced, show how a player performed but do not show why. This is contrary to the statement on the Buy Now page "This is a breakthrough for modern fans, who now have all new tools to understand how their teams are performing – and why!"

The simulated Statcast "data" with sufficient sample size might give an indication the scout has misevaluated a player. It does not show how a player performed, again contrary to the statement on the Buy Now page.

Sufficient sample sizes for some real life Statcast data is viewed as easily obtainable. Fine, but does that apply to simulated Statcast "data" derived from a source other than the outcome of the play?

How is this stuff useful? None of the performance data is. The Statcast simulation is marginally useful in that in some cases it could give a clue that perhaps the scout's rating might possibly be a bit off when scouting is set to less than 100%. People should go back and watch Matt waffle and refuse to commit in the road to release interview.

But then, there is nothing easier to accept as true than something a person wants to be true.

Last edited by ColumbusJets; 03-31-2026 at 08:41 PM.
ColumbusJets is offline   Reply With Quote