Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweed
Take all of this fwiw. 
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Well, what's it worth to me is a lot, so thanks.
I do in fact do all those things (move the outfielders, shift the IF, pitch around etc). But I do those things during all innings at something near what I suspect is the same rate, but I still end up with this observed "1st inning" effect.
Like you, I am skeptical about bias confirmation and also accept that random results can look very non-random to an imperfect observer. I formed this feeling over four full seasons, which is why I decided to start making a note of each game this season.