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benp28 · 08-03-2025, 11:07 AM

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Catchers

Neither of the Giants’ Catchers had stand out seasons, but an 2.8 WAR from the position is not a disaster. Both players are under contract for next year, Castro’s $3.5m a more attractive contract than Ramos’ $9.9m. This is not a priority position for upgrade but should the right deal present itself a new starter with a stronger bat would be attractive.

Infield

Gabino Galindo had a strong first full year in the majors, a 132 wRC+ coming with a BB% above 10% and a SO% below 20%. The 2046 Scouting Discovery will have a league minimum contract next year and, despite the lack of power, will have the right to fight for the 1B role in 2055.

2B Ernesto Pantoja was the star of the position players on the Giants roster, a 122 wRC+ helping him to 3.4 WAR with 24 HRs and 83 RBIs. Pantoja is entering his arbitration years and, looking for $20m a year for a long term contract, the Giants are likely to go year-to-year for now.

Steve Boyd earned the everyday 3B spot (shifting to SS against LHP) for the season and returned a 115 wRC+ and 3.1 WAR, a consecutive year hitting above league average. He will return on a league minimum contract in 2055.

Joel Hudson is the first interesting decision for the Giants. The 2049 1st round pick SS is entering his second arbitration year, has an elite glove (two-time GG winner) but a bat that is unplayable against LHP and put up an 89 wRC+ this year, and is fragile. The challenge is that the Giants don’t have a ready-made replacement in a critical defensive position. As such the likeliest outcome is that Hudson returns for 2055, with the Giants hoping that 2055 delivers the long-term answer as his replacement.

Kevin Dobbs had only 155 IP in the field, at 1B, but appeared in 88 primarily as a DH. He is entering his second year of arbitration, and is injury prone, but a 153 wRC+ will bring him back in 2055, even if that was a likely slight overperformance and regression is on the way. He will be fighting for the 1B role with Galindo, with it unlikely the Giants can carry both.

Nevio Clinton only had 161 PAs as an utility infielder, playing at all the infield positions other than 1B while, for the second year, hitting just below the league average (93 wRC+). Entering the second year of arbitration, that is probably who he is – a below league average hitter, who can cover all of the infield to an adequate level. He is a captain who is happy to sit on the bench, which has its value, and that may be enough to bring him back in 2055 although the Giants would certainly entertain any reasonable offers.

Clinton’s biggest threat is probably Ben Thomas. The 2047 16th round pick earned his first call up the big leagues and offers a similar defensive profile to Clinton with a slightly better hitting profile and on a league minimum contract. It is unlikely the Giants take both into next season although they may be given Spring Training to earn their spot.

Juan Magana, meanwhile, is the biggest threat to Kevin Dobbs/Gabrino Galindo. Another 2054 call up, the #54 ranked prospect in baseball hit 1.008 OPS+ in his first 87 PA. The Giants will send him through a defensive programme this offseason in the hope that they can turn him into a passable 2B but 1B/DH is his likeliest position.

Outfield

Once again, the Giants outfield was a source of underachievement. Six players played in over 80 G and none of them look like cornerstones for the franchise.

RF Germains Curtis played the most games, 131, and is the only player heading into arbitration, and it will be his second year. He was unable to replicate his performance of last year, though, his wRC+ dropping from 101 to 89, although he remains an elite glove. The former Rule 5 pick is likely to move on before free agency, either in trade or through non-tendering.

CF Jaquan Willie remains an elite CF, putting up a 10.4 ZR with 1.044 efficiency but his bat continues to be underwhelming with a 70 wRC+ for the season bordering on unplayable. On a minimum salary, and with that glove, Willie will likely return in 2055 but has to hit and the Giants will be in the market for an upgrade.

That upgrade may come in the form of Sergio Ibarra, who earned a recall to the big leagues after spending all of 2053 in Sacramento. A plus defender in CF, Ibarra is not quite as strong as Willie but is a better hitter, hitting close to league average with a 97 wRC+ and putting up a positive ZR and Efficiency in CF. Another league minimum salary, it is likely that Ibarra’s ability to play all three OF positions earns him at least a 4th OF role, if not more.

LF Gianvito Heaton missed a third of the season but still managed 25 HR, demonstrating his leap forward in power last offseason. His 91 wRC+ however, showed his lack of contact ability, with a SO% of 37.9%. One of the few lefties on the roster, he will certainly be back in 2055 and the Giants will likely try for gold again in the development lab to improve his 2-strike approach.

Luis Castro disappointed in his 85 G, putting up a 94 wRC+ although he is an elite glove in the corners. He does have some unrealised potential and, at 25, this is probably the key offseason for him to realise that contact potential if he wants to keep his roster place for 2055.

Wilfredo Polo missed 3 months of the season with a strained ACL but might be the best pure hitter on the roster. A 147 wRC+ was in line with his 2052 season and entering the last year of minimum salary, the Giants likely have to find a role for him on the 2055 roster, despite his limitations defensively limiting him to DH.

Luis Garnica, the 2046 Scouting Discovery, earned his call up to the big leagues with his 137 wRC+ in Sacramento, but it is hard to see where the 24-year old will break into the roster. His plus corner defense is the equal of Castro, but his potential bat is a lot weaker and, with fragile injury proneness, Garnica will most likely start in Sacramento in 2055.

Early 2055 Projections

C Juan Ramos
1B Kevin Dobbs / Gabino Galindo
2B Ernesto Pantoja
3B Steve Boyd
SS Joel Hudson

LF Gianvito Heaton
CF Jaquan Willie
RF Luis Castro

DH Wilfredo Polo

C Jesus Castro
IF Juan Magana
IF Nevio Clinton / Ben Thomas
OF Sergio Ibarra
OF TBC

Trade / Non-Tendered

Germains Curtis

Option

Luis Garnica

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Starters

The Giants were very lucky, then very unlucky, when it came to their starting rotation and health. They had five starters who started 30 or more games (although Chris Krupa had 21 of those starts for the Rangers), and another started 25. However, they also lost two of those pitchers within a few days to season ending injuries.

Andy Frederick was again the ace of the staff with a 79 FIP-, 174.1 IP, and 4.2 WAR, with 195 K (coming from a 10.1 K/9 rate that registered as the 8th best of all time amongst Giants pitchers). He contract increases to $31m next year but the Giants are happy to pay that, although they will hope a trip to the Development Lab can improve his durability.

Juan Montoya’s sophomore season was, injury aside, a successful one. A 96 FIP- and 2.5 WAR cements him as a solid middle of the rotation option for the Giants although his injury lasting for another 3 months frustratingly will cost him a chance in the development lab to improve his off pitches. A minimum salary contract for next year means he will be back, hopefully in the back half of the rotation.

Chris Krupa is an impending Free Agent and it seems unlikely the Giants will bring him back as the 31-year old is looking for a 6-year contract. He was a successful rental, a 3.28 ERA from his 12 GS with a 1.1 WAR.

Jesus Barbosa is eligible for arbitration for the first time and at only $2.6m is most likely worth the cost. He put up 1.1 WAR in his 30 GS, going 152.1 IP, and providing 107 FIP-, just above league average. Ideally Barbosa will have a long relief role in 2055, backing up a stronger rotation.

Juan Barboza was given every chance by Stewart to show his worth but was ultimately worse than a replacement player, his 130 FIP- from an unattractive 1.7 HR/9. He will be on a league minimum contract in 2055 and likely will start the season in Sacramento to provide depth.

Cason Willard ended with 139.1 IP and therefore did not meet his Vesting requirement for 2055. He will be a free agent and the Giants will not be submitting a bid for his services. The former Royal had a 4.84 ERA and provided 1.1 WAR from his 25 GS.

Greg Ward, the #56 ranked prospect was a September call up and made 3 starts at the end of the season. He was effective as both a starter and a reliever although a 35-grade curveball as his third pitch means that the Giants would prefer the 2049 7th round to have a bullpen role.

Bullpen

It was a strong bullpen with the majority coming back on league minimum contracts, although there are a few decisions to be made.

Mike Stark is the only pending Free Agent for the Giants and, after a successful season, the Giants have offered him a 3-year contract with two team options – it will overpay him $10m in 2055 which will drop to $6.5m for the next two years if the team picks up the options.

On the players arbitration eligible, Rickey Martino is in his 3rd year and while a 28:14 SD:MD ratio is slightly worse than previous years, he was still worth 1.0 WAR from his 63 G. Equally, an SV% less than 80% suggests there might be a battle for the closer role in 2055.

A save fail means this will be picked up at the end of preseason 2055.

08-03-2025, 11:07 AM	#94
benp28 All Star Reserve Join Date: Apr 2024 Posts: 875	2054 Player Evaluation Catchers Neither of the Giants’ Catchers had stand out seasons, but an 2.8 WAR from the position is not a disaster. Both players are under contract for next year, Castro’s $3.5m a more attractive contract than Ramos’ $9.9m. This is not a priority position for upgrade but should the right deal present itself a new starter with a stronger bat would be attractive. Infield Gabino Galindo had a strong first full year in the majors, a 132 wRC+ coming with a BB% above 10% and a SO% below 20%. The 2046 Scouting Discovery will have a league minimum contract next year and, despite the lack of power, will have the right to fight for the 1B role in 2055. 2B Ernesto Pantoja was the star of the position players on the Giants roster, a 122 wRC+ helping him to 3.4 WAR with 24 HRs and 83 RBIs. Pantoja is entering his arbitration years and, looking for $20m a year for a long term contract, the Giants are likely to go year-to-year for now. Steve Boyd earned the everyday 3B spot (shifting to SS against LHP) for the season and returned a 115 wRC+ and 3.1 WAR, a consecutive year hitting above league average. He will return on a league minimum contract in 2055. Joel Hudson is the first interesting decision for the Giants. The 2049 1st round pick SS is entering his second arbitration year, has an elite glove (two-time GG winner) but a bat that is unplayable against LHP and put up an 89 wRC+ this year, and is fragile. The challenge is that the Giants don’t have a ready-made replacement in a critical defensive position. As such the likeliest outcome is that Hudson returns for 2055, with the Giants hoping that 2055 delivers the long-term answer as his replacement. Kevin Dobbs had only 155 IP in the field, at 1B, but appeared in 88 primarily as a DH. He is entering his second year of arbitration, and is injury prone, but a 153 wRC+ will bring him back in 2055, even if that was a likely slight overperformance and regression is on the way. He will be fighting for the 1B role with Galindo, with it unlikely the Giants can carry both. Nevio Clinton only had 161 PAs as an utility infielder, playing at all the infield positions other than 1B while, for the second year, hitting just below the league average (93 wRC+). Entering the second year of arbitration, that is probably who he is – a below league average hitter, who can cover all of the infield to an adequate level. He is a captain who is happy to sit on the bench, which has its value, and that may be enough to bring him back in 2055 although the Giants would certainly entertain any reasonable offers. Clinton’s biggest threat is probably Ben Thomas. The 2047 16th round pick earned his first call up the big leagues and offers a similar defensive profile to Clinton with a slightly better hitting profile and on a league minimum contract. It is unlikely the Giants take both into next season although they may be given Spring Training to earn their spot. Juan Magana, meanwhile, is the biggest threat to Kevin Dobbs/Gabrino Galindo. Another 2054 call up, the #54 ranked prospect in baseball hit 1.008 OPS+ in his first 87 PA. The Giants will send him through a defensive programme this offseason in the hope that they can turn him into a passable 2B but 1B/DH is his likeliest position. Outfield Once again, the Giants outfield was a source of underachievement. Six players played in over 80 G and none of them look like cornerstones for the franchise. RF Germains Curtis played the most games, 131, and is the only player heading into arbitration, and it will be his second year. He was unable to replicate his performance of last year, though, his wRC+ dropping from 101 to 89, although he remains an elite glove. The former Rule 5 pick is likely to move on before free agency, either in trade or through non-tendering. CF Jaquan Willie remains an elite CF, putting up a 10.4 ZR with 1.044 efficiency but his bat continues to be underwhelming with a 70 wRC+ for the season bordering on unplayable. On a minimum salary, and with that glove, Willie will likely return in 2055 but has to hit and the Giants will be in the market for an upgrade. That upgrade may come in the form of Sergio Ibarra, who earned a recall to the big leagues after spending all of 2053 in Sacramento. A plus defender in CF, Ibarra is not quite as strong as Willie but is a better hitter, hitting close to league average with a 97 wRC+ and putting up a positive ZR and Efficiency in CF. Another league minimum salary, it is likely that Ibarra’s ability to play all three OF positions earns him at least a 4th OF role, if not more. LF Gianvito Heaton missed a third of the season but still managed 25 HR, demonstrating his leap forward in power last offseason. His 91 wRC+ however, showed his lack of contact ability, with a SO% of 37.9%. One of the few lefties on the roster, he will certainly be back in 2055 and the Giants will likely try for gold again in the development lab to improve his 2-strike approach. Luis Castro disappointed in his 85 G, putting up a 94 wRC+ although he is an elite glove in the corners. He does have some unrealised potential and, at 25, this is probably the key offseason for him to realise that contact potential if he wants to keep his roster place for 2055. Wilfredo Polo missed 3 months of the season with a strained ACL but might be the best pure hitter on the roster. A 147 wRC+ was in line with his 2052 season and entering the last year of minimum salary, the Giants likely have to find a role for him on the 2055 roster, despite his limitations defensively limiting him to DH. Luis Garnica, the 2046 Scouting Discovery, earned his call up to the big leagues with his 137 wRC+ in Sacramento, but it is hard to see where the 24-year old will break into the roster. His plus corner defense is the equal of Castro, but his potential bat is a lot weaker and, with fragile injury proneness, Garnica will most likely start in Sacramento in 2055. Early 2055 Projections C Juan Ramos 1B Kevin Dobbs / Gabino Galindo 2B Ernesto Pantoja 3B Steve Boyd SS Joel Hudson LF Gianvito Heaton CF Jaquan Willie RF Luis Castro DH Wilfredo Polo C Jesus Castro IF Juan Magana IF Nevio Clinton / Ben Thomas OF Sergio Ibarra OF TBC Trade / Non-Tendered Germains Curtis Option Luis Garnica Starters The Giants were very lucky, then very unlucky, when it came to their starting rotation and health. They had five starters who started 30 or more games (although Chris Krupa had 21 of those starts for the Rangers), and another started 25. However, they also lost two of those pitchers within a few days to season ending injuries. Andy Frederick was again the ace of the staff with a 79 FIP-, 174.1 IP, and 4.2 WAR, with 195 K (coming from a 10.1 K/9 rate that registered as the 8th best of all time amongst Giants pitchers). He contract increases to $31m next year but the Giants are happy to pay that, although they will hope a trip to the Development Lab can improve his durability. Juan Montoya’s sophomore season was, injury aside, a successful one. A 96 FIP- and 2.5 WAR cements him as a solid middle of the rotation option for the Giants although his injury lasting for another 3 months frustratingly will cost him a chance in the development lab to improve his off pitches. A minimum salary contract for next year means he will be back, hopefully in the back half of the rotation. Chris Krupa is an impending Free Agent and it seems unlikely the Giants will bring him back as the 31-year old is looking for a 6-year contract. He was a successful rental, a 3.28 ERA from his 12 GS with a 1.1 WAR. Jesus Barbosa is eligible for arbitration for the first time and at only $2.6m is most likely worth the cost. He put up 1.1 WAR in his 30 GS, going 152.1 IP, and providing 107 FIP-, just above league average. Ideally Barbosa will have a long relief role in 2055, backing up a stronger rotation. Juan Barboza was given every chance by Stewart to show his worth but was ultimately worse than a replacement player, his 130 FIP- from an unattractive 1.7 HR/9. He will be on a league minimum contract in 2055 and likely will start the season in Sacramento to provide depth. Cason Willard ended with 139.1 IP and therefore did not meet his Vesting requirement for 2055. He will be a free agent and the Giants will not be submitting a bid for his services. The former Royal had a 4.84 ERA and provided 1.1 WAR from his 25 GS. Greg Ward, the #56 ranked prospect was a September call up and made 3 starts at the end of the season. He was effective as both a starter and a reliever although a 35-grade curveball as his third pitch means that the Giants would prefer the 2049 7th round to have a bullpen role. Bullpen It was a strong bullpen with the majority coming back on league minimum contracts, although there are a few decisions to be made. Mike Stark is the only pending Free Agent for the Giants and, after a successful season, the Giants have offered him a 3-year contract with two team options – it will overpay him $10m in 2055 which will drop to $6.5m for the next two years if the team picks up the options. On the players arbitration eligible, Rickey Martino is in his 3rd year and while a 28:14 SD:MD ratio is slightly worse than previous years, he was still worth 1.0 WAR from his 63 G. Equally, an SV% less than 80% suggests there might be a battle for the closer role in 2055. A save fail means this will be picked up at the end of preseason 2055.