Quote:
Originally Posted by usa_hank
You bring up an interesting point about the seasonal variance modifier. I know they definitely have a "hot" or "cold" modifier. I wonder if they randomize that at the start of the season for every player - so maybe we perceive it as a seasonal variance, but it's just because they start out with a negative modifier, making it hard for them to get back on track. Hence why my Honus Wagner has repeatedly started out like he's Javy Baez from the last 2 seasons.
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I'm certain there is a seasonal modifier in Perfect Team. I've played near 1000 simulated seasons in the base game (from OOTP 2012 to 2023, skipping 2-3 years of new releases here and there) and the season to season variances that are plainly obvious in PT do not exist in the regular game. Barring injury and aging in the base game, the only cards that show the wild season to season variances that exist in PT are those with extreme profiles. For example the super power hitter with no contact, pitcher with no control, etc...
I (finally) spent all my live speculation money on a 101 rated outfielder last season and he won MVP. After the first month this season he has negative WAR... "Small sample size" but I've seen this pattern in PT 2020, 2022, 2023, and of course 2026. If he doesn't recover after next month the safe bet is to bench him because the woe usually lasts the season.
EDIT: I'd like to add there is another possible reason, in that there is no seasonal modifier and just by constant and extreme bad luck your (for example) Sheffield sucks. But one wonders why week after week he constantly underperforms while other Sheffields consistently perform well. It is possible the game by game variances are so extreme to allow this, however the consistency of good and bad luck per season, per card in PT means this is unlikely. Also, there is definitely chance involved game by game, or week by week. Most obviously performances recognized with "batter of the week" or "pitcher of the month" awards which may be won with cards having otherwise a crap season. Or platoon vs RHP Zack Wheat benched with a 78 OPS whacking 2 HR in a game vs a LHP as a substitute (yes this happened), etc...