I agree it's off as well. But it's difficult to determine if it's because of a broken mechanic or just random luck.
I think the progression/development speed is too slow while the aging target is also too low. So by the time a college player finally starts developing, they immediately hit their regression target.
Here's a 1st round pick of mine. Age 22 at draft. Hit his potential target by age 25. That seems reasonable?
