Quote:
Originally Posted by BaseballATeam
I haven't kept data on it or anything, but I used to write for FanGraphs and had an eye on just about every game for the better part of a decade. I know exactly how many games *should* change leads in the ninth inning (roughly 5%, rising to 8% for leads of 3 or less), and it sure feels like more than 8% in-game. Not enough to complain about, mind you, I just take it as one of those things that's more video-gamey than reality.
I think where it's most noticeable is with large leads. The number of eight+ run leads that change in the ninth inning in a given season can usually be counted on one finger, and that's leaguewide. Run a 10-year sim, and most teams should experience between 0-1 instances of a lead change of this magnitude. My experience with OOTP is it's more like 2-3 times a year per (human) team.
I do think it probably has to do with gaming mechanics like Sparkplug. I don't know if there's a momentum mechanic in there somewhere, but maybe that can run away sometimes.
This is all an observation, not a criticism.
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Have played OOTP, with latest versions, extensively the last two real-life years, and have not observed this reported tendency in either online or offline play.