Quote:
Originally Posted by findinghomer
Just did a REAL test. I went through every single pitching rotation in my league... 28 out of 30 were at exactly 4% after pitching yesterday. Only 2 pitchers were different , and they were at 3% they were also both yellow in stamina. Probably the same with the couple anomalies you encountered. So people with yellow stamina do affect their fatigue but not much at all only by 1.. But that doesn't explain why there's no variety of fatigue. why is there nobody with 11% or 9 percent , or even 6 % guys with higher stamina should have less fatigue. There's no variety . We should be able to manage our rotation fatigue based on how much we use them , not on a strict coded universal scheduled layout.
So. My point remains.
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Yes, if your point is most pitchers are 4% rested after starting the previous day, you are correct. I did what you did, simmed a day, and checked all pitchers, and only 1 pitcher wasn't at 4%. Most guys threw 70+ pitches, so this makes sense to some degree. Variation may be better, but that is just at the 1 day point
Things started to change as days advanced. I got 8, 14, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 at the 2 day point. This seems to be a modern day issue, not a fatigue as a whole issue. It seems like you are almost guaranteed in a modern setup to have a guy be 4% rested after 1 day.
So next is testing a different year. I picked 1997, which has "default" for hook SP, "low" for stamina, and "1.048" for SP stamina. Here after 1 day, most were 4%, and after 2 it had a similar range.
Next up, 1977, which has default, normal, and 1.000. Here I got more of a mix, with 2s, 3s, 4s, even a 14 since a guy went only 63 pitches, and a 16 at 59. It does seem like if a guy "empties the tank" he gets capped at 4% fatigue. As I progressed, the single digits were between 14 and 21, with the two higher rested guys at 35 and 36. Sticking with those two, it went to 63 and 64 at 3, and both got to 100% at 4. The highest a single digit guy got to by day 4 was 71, and another got to 70. Both threw 109 pitches at the same stadium. There was another 70 elsewhere with just 96 pitches, and a third with 142
Interestingly, one team decided to pitch one of the 60% on short rest. He threw 99 pitches first, then 100 on 4 days rest. He was a 2%. Another short rest went 116 then 92, he was a 3%. There was a 137 to 74, he was 3%. 110 to 110, 2%. 96 to 101, 2%. 139 to 102, 1%. 115 to 90, 2%. 119 to 131, 2%. 135 to 68, 2%. But all guys with 4 full days of rest, were up to 100% on the 5th day.
So there is a sweet spot, and some differential, but I understand why you would want to see something different. There is room for improvement, but there is some variability. It's easier to see in past years, and I'm sure there's a ton in the 1940s and before.