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With TCR off, the player will likely keep roughly the same potential rating through his career. (With TCR on, that value will drop or change).
The development engine isn't ready to account for the talent changes that is baseball. Specially not drops in talent or potential. It can't handle a player like Adalberto Mondesí having so much potential to washing out of baseball.
There's a randomness to doing everything right to develop the player only for them to turn into barely above replacement level.
That's why we'll always need some sort of TCR
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