[tomkmb]

Originally Posted by squirrel

Thanks. Yep I've got MOPS and I've got OOTP calculator.

I've also found a FIP projection from a guy called Donkeykong on the forums here:
https://forums.ootpdevelopments.com/...d.php?t=299342
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...#gid=838353800

I've also been reading quite a bit of stuff by Tom Tango like WARcels: http://tangotiger.com/index.php/site...arcels-warcels

And I'm also trying to understand this surplus value trade calculator: https://forums.ootpdevelopments.com/...d.php?t=329246

For now I'm not going to over-think though stuff like run environment / model calibration, that's too advanced for me at the moment. I just want something to tell me for my save roughly what WAR I should expect from my players at each position and what sort of WAR my prospects are on track for when they reach their primes. Then I want to know how much expected WAR my team has got vs all the other teams and whether it's enough to consistently get to the playoffs (given average luck) or not. Basically I want Fangraphs but within OOTP IYSWIM

Sounds awesome - I've found with TCR in OOTP it gives the development a much more unpredictable element than other sports games, at least when looked at in a big picture view, so predicting a prospects future WAR feels almost impossible, to me at least. Still, if anyone can do it - I think it would be you!