MLB Player overall ratings - perception versus reality
Hey gang,
Baseball America, one of the best baseball resources out there, had a great article last week for the beginning of the MLB season that listed each teams projected lineup, starting rotation, and top three bullpen arms. This is fairly standard stuff starting a new season….however What I’ve not seen before is they also placed current overall grades on all of the players.
Below are the results rolled up by grade.
Some thoughts…
- I LOVE to see OOTP’s direction get closer and closer to this model to reflect reality
- Most MLB players are somewhere in that 45-55 range (nearly 77%)
- Top RP max out at ~60 per Baseball America. In this study that would be Edwin Diaz and Josh Hader. Historically, someone like Mariano Rivera would be a 65+ perhaps. OOTP is high on RP grades versus reality IMO.
For those that prefer a bajillion 70 and 80 grade prospects in drafts that is just not simply based in reality looking at current MLB grades. As is, MLB currently has 28 players in the entire league that rate 70+.
Lukas also brought up a great point in another thread that not all prospects develop in real life or in OOTP.
Also…. at some point we have to realize a ~50 level player is around average and a valued player. You need lots of average players that can supplement a roster and avoid massive holes in a lineup.
Using these understandings above has been the basis for the creation of my 2024 MLB roster set. I have ~33 current rating 70+ either SP or batters (not counting IL) and Real MLB per Baseball America has 28.
My current calibrated 2024 MLB draftees have 7 players with potential of 55+, and 29 with 50 potential.
Just wanted to take some time and share my insights and thoughts around all things ratings related.
If anyone would like to try the roster set out, link is below. Look for the last post from me for latest version.
https://forums.ootpdevelopments.com/...d.php?t=354076