As I first started reading the original post, I thought to myself "Well, potential is best case scenario. Not much to think about." But I really enjoyed reading the entire post, which I think contains extremely interesting nuance. Please correct me if I am wrong (I am extremely new to OOTP in general), but the way I see it, this question directly relates to a preference for a scouting director in our sims. The way it was explained to me, scouting directors with "highly favor ability" look for that more realistic outcome, while directors with "highly favor tools" look for those extreme examples.
I believe my own personal preference here actually reveals a lot about my personality and how I view the world. It seems clear to me that there is no 100% correct answer here, a truth that exists outside of our own minds. It rocks that we have the ability to view the prospects and players in our sims through the lens of either extreme, or something in the middle. My first (somewhat dismissive) opinion that I revealed in the first sentence of this reply should make it obvious that I tend towards the "highly favor tools" scouts.
I think that since I gravitate towards viewing the outliers (the Judge 62 HR-type seasons) as "potential", I can learn a lot by attempting to use "highly favor ability" scouts. It forces my brain to adapt and consider what I'm looking at, since the data is presented in a way that is not as intuitive to me.
Great post imo. Cheers
