Quote:
Originally Posted by uruguru
There is way too much noise in defensive outcomes to say anything is "much more reasonable" than anything else. The error bars are so wide that suggesting that batters benefit equally from neutral defenses is crazy. This is ultimately the problem with all FIP-based metrics.
Because in the end, we will judge hitters who benefit from a .320 BABIP against neutral defenses as better than hitters who get a .270 BABIP. Not just better, but significantly better even though a huge portion of that .050 BABIP difference is just luck.
"Lol."
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Hitters have significantly more influence over their Babip than pitchers. This fact, combined with what I said above about defenses, is why FIP-like statistics are much more needed for pitchers than hitters.
This doesn't mean one shouldn't look into Babip, exit velocities, and other stuff for hitters, obviously.