Quote:
Originally Posted by MathBandit
I know this is a discussion we've had a lot in many different places, but I think part of the potential (heh) confusion is regarding what "Potential" actually means in OOTP Scouting parlance.
Is it the 50th percentile outcome for the player (their 'average' result)? Is it their 80th percentile outcome ('very good' result)? Is it the 95th percentile outcome (almost 'peak' result)?
If its 50th percentile outcome, then I agree that the vast majority of prospects in the draft should have meh potentials, but then you'd have people upset that in the first round there's only a couple 60s and everyone else is 55 or below. If its 95th percentile outcome then sure a lot of people have very high potentials, but only 5% of them will ever reach that so dev reports will have a LOT of 'failures' as potentials drop left and right for basically every prospect.
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This is indeed the issue that needs to be conclusively addressed first..