Quote:
Originally Posted by bdawg
I seem to have really bad luck this year (hmmmmm). I've often saved up my PT points to buy 25 packs at once (you know, that convenient "buy 25" button). I can't even tell you how many times I've ended up getting no silver or above.
I'm a math guy, and I did the math on the odds of that.
If one pack has the odds: Bronze 1:5, Silver 1:20, Gold 1:50, Diamond 1:150, Perfect 1:1000 -
44.6% odds of opening 10 packs with no silver or above players
13.2% odds of opening 25 packs with no silver or above players
I literally have opened 25 packs in a row several times, and gotten no silvers or above. At 13.2% odds...I find it odd to think I'm THAT unlucky several times over, and just in this year's game. Never had that happen previous years.
(I don't buy silver packs anymore, because I find I just get the same old silver players who are worthless in most of these packs - I'd rather just open twice as many packs in the hopes I get someone worth using in PT)
|
Sounds like you and I have the same crappy luck. Last year I had terrible luck = this year a bit better to start, but the last 6 weeks all I've gotten is a lot of Dups to re-sell. Maybe tonight...