Quote:
Originally Posted by uruguru
I suspect it's the concept that Maris abnormally peaked at 61 HRs, it was not a typical season for him. This is a common idea for pretty much any season in which a player sets a single-season record.
So if you wanted to account for it being atypical, you might set Maris' ratings so that repeated replays of 1961 might see Maris average 50 homers, not 61, but he would still occasionally peak around 61 in some of those sims.
The counterpoint is that if you set his ratings to average 61 homers, then he would literally hit over 61 homers in half of the 1961 simulations you ran. That would break verisimilitude for a lot of fans and make the simulation's accuracy seem suspect.
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That begs the question, do you set Norm Cash to never hit higher than say .289? Josh Hamilton no higher than .298?