Quote:
Originally Posted by monkeyman576
I think the upsets have more to do with correctly applying analytic analysis rather than just trying to buy a $250M team.
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2022 MLB playoff upsets, so far:
- Padres (89 wins) beating Dodgers (111) - big upset, but not based upon payroll (Padres' $238m vs Dodgers' $276m - payrolls are basically the same if you discount the two big name suspended players on each team).
- Padres (89 wins) beating Mets (101) - big upset, but it's not like the Padres' payroll ($238m) is dwarfed by the Mets' highest-in-the-league payroll ($283m).
- Phils (87 wins) beating Braves (101) - big upset, but not by payroll (Phillies = $255m; Braves = $200m).
- Phils (87 wins) beating Cards (93) - not a huge upset, but still the bigger payroll won.
IOW, all upsets thus far have been pulled off by the teams ranking #4 and #5 - and in the $250m range - in 2022 payroll. Are these two teams not trying to buy a $250m team, whereas others are?
And if you look at the four teams remaining, they rank 3, 4, 5 and 9 in 2022 payroll. So where is it that analytics are trumping those "just trying to buy a $250m team?"
It could be that I'm totally misunderstanding the point... it's happened before
. If so, please explain
