The 2022 MLB Playoffs were a wild ride and ended with a Freeway Series:
The Dodgers won their second World Series in the last 3 years with a 4-1 series win over the Angels.
Cody Bellinger shook off a second straight rough regular season by going 7-16 with 2 HR & 8 RBI in the 5 games to win Series MVP.
Notable Retirements:
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Albert Pujols calls it a career after putting up a .296/.373/.539 line with 3,339 hits and 682 HRs. He’ll surely be in Cooperstown in summer 2028 celebrating his enshrinement.
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Miguel Cabrera will likely be joining Albert, as he finished his career with 3,058 hits, 509 HRs, and a .307/.384/.525 line.
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Zack Greinke is more of a tough call - he’s got some of the best numbers for *this* era but they don’t really stand up against the legends of the game. 242-180, with a 3.49 ERA and 2,919 Ks in 3,280 innings and 562 games(520 GS). His 67.8 WAR might be enough to get the newer voters to put him in, but he’s not a slam-dunk like the first two big names retiring this year.
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Justin Verlander is a surprising retirement - foregoing another year of $25M after a very good 2022 season. The 39 year old was 12-10 with a 3.62 ERA in 30 GS, striking out 191 in 199 IP, good for 4.2 WAR. He finishes his MLB run with a 238-139 record, a 3.25 ERA, and 3,204 strikeouts in 3,187 IP over 484 games (all starts). Career WAR is 72.7, so he’s a little closer than Greinke in many people’s eyes.
Almost as surprising as Verlander’s retirement was the absolute postseason bloodbath in the GM ranks -
Brian Cashman (NYY),
Jerry Dipoto (SEA),
Mike Hazen (ARI),
Al Avila (DET), &
David Forst (OAK) were all given pink slips and their former teams will be looking for fresh perspectives in their front offices going forward.
Now, back to the more Marlins-focused goings on with a quick rundown at what the Marlins will be looking at going into the offseason:
C:
Jacob Stallings struggled on offense but is a world-class defender. He’ll still be affordable ($3.9M projected in arbitration) and there’s not much ready in the system, so he’s in.
1B: Probably a position to upgrade.
Garrett Cooper is a non-tender after a rough season
(.231/.296/.388 in 441 PAs),
Lewin Diaz doesn’t look ready
(.192/.264/.285 in 130 PAs), and
Yoenis Cespedes is 36, fragile, and tough to rely on for 120+ games despite good numbers
(.249/.303/.470 with 13 HR in 238 PAs.)
2B:
Jazz Chisholm, Jr. should be fully healed from his broken kneecap for spring training and he’s not going anywhere.
3B:
Brian Anderson is another assumed non-tender
(.214/.309/.393), so here’s another spot the Marlins should be looking to upgrade
SS: Man, this infield is rough beyond Jazz! The top two names on the depth chart both had rough times in limited sample sizes:
Luis Rengifo was .165/.220/.257 in 119 PAs after coming over from the Angels;
Jose Devers was called up for September and was just as bad, going .170/.243/.213 in 103 PAs. There’s no money to play at the top of the SS free agent market so there’s a chance that these guys are a platoon heading into 2023.
OF: The Marlins have some good young decent options but no real great homes for them
Bryan De La Cruz broke through to a .292/.355/.449 with 11 HRs in 368 PAs, so he’s got a spot;
Jesus Sanchez struggled mightily through the first half of the year but had a decent enough second half to give one more shot to. On the veteran side,
Avisail Garcia has at least 3 years left at $12M per, and
Jorge Soler led the team with 25 HR in 2022 so he’ll probably stick at DH if he doesn’t exercise his opt-out.
Bench:
Joey Wendle is getting expensive for a guy without a home - his best spot is 2B but he’s not displacing Jazz; his arm and bat aren’t strong enough for 3B or SS. He might be moved, especially since
Wilfredo Tovar is on hand to be a better glove (with a worse bat). A new backup C will be needed since
Willians Astudillo is sure to be non-tendered.
Brian Miller might stick as a 4th/5th OF after a solid .301/.338/.397 in 77 PAs while going 9/9 on SB.
Rotation:
Trevor Rogers (10-10, 3.44 ERA, 33 GS, 178 IP, 55 BB, 194 K)
Sandy Alcantara (12-15, 4.46 ERA, 33 GS, 203.1 IP, 69 BB, 189 K)
Pablo Lopez (12-6, 3.13 ERA, 31 GP, 178.1 IP, 48 BB, 142 K) - Lopez will probably be out til mid-May with his torn Labrum but will be a #2-3 upon his return
Sixto Sanchez (2-9, 4.33 ERA, 19 GS, 114.1 IP, 40 BB, 93 K)
The 5th starter will come out of
Jesus Luzardo,
Mitch White, or
Jacob Lopez - with #41 prospect per OSA
Max Meyer looming in Triple-A as the next man up.
Bullpen:
Tanner Scott (2-5, 37 SV, 3.16 ERA, 65 G, 62.2 IP, 31 BB, 81 K) &
Dylan Floro (8-7, 6 SV, 2.08 ERA, 75 G, 78 IP, 26 BB, 65 K) are your linchpins in the ‘pen. Beyond them, a lot of non-tenders & trade bait - one of the starters who loses out on the #5 spot could transition into a relief arm, and
Phllips Valdez settled down (4.64 ERA in 21.1 IP) after his waiver claim, so he could be a middle relief arm. Veteran relievers signed in Triple-A who could contribute include
Grant Dayton,
Brad Boxberger, or
Louis Head, as well.
There's not a ton of money here to make these things work - GM Jackie Daytona is going to have his work cut out for him trying to improve this team up from 78 wins. Lots of minor league deals towards the end of the preseason, I'm sure, along with trying to find ways to get players other teams are trying to move on from without absorbing too much additional salary.