Quote:
Originally Posted by Matt Arnold
There's always some players the "algorithm" ends up liking more than others. Especially players who derive a lot of value from defense, stuff can be variable, and the live updates are likely not perfect at tracking his defensive value. So someone like Realmuto could easily swing by a lot if you tweaked his defense by a few points either way.
For Williams, the walks are very punishing to his overall. While often FIP is a good predictor for player ratings among pitchers (why someone like Gausman continues to rock high ratings despite his ball in play struggles), at the extremes, it doesn't necessarily work the same. The way the overall is calculated, it's penalizing him for the walk troubles more than FIP does because he's a fair bit below average there.
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Awesome - thanks for the explanation, Matt. I was trying to figure out if I was actually calculating something wrong-appears not.