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Bub13 · 09-01-2022, 06:32 PM

GET READY FOR OPENING DAY!

Off-Season winners and losers, by WAR:
** NOTE: only players at/over 1.0 WAR shown **

1. NY Yankees, +16.5
GAINED: SP Nick Light (7.1); OF Rick Logston (5.3); SP Shaun Ostrander (2.3); SP Justin Barrington (2.3); 1B Jose Rodriguez (2.1); RP Ryan Scheele (2.0); RP Ryan Ratliff (1.8); 2B Aaron Milleson (1.3)
LOST: SP Jose Sedillo (5.2); RP John Starkey (1.2); 1B Andrew Taylor (1.0); RP Jay Buck (1.0)
PROJECTION: Better than their 69-93 season from '56, but the infield still won't hit for much. Pitching and OF are much improved.

2. SF Giants, +10.8
GAINED: OF Jordan Coronado (3.7); SP Elijah Bragg (3.3); SP Jaden Buchanan (2.2)
LOST: minimal
PROJECTION: Pitching is better, and hitting is too if only for not chasing too many high $$$ old guys. Won 71 last year, should win more this time.

3. Montreal, +9.5
GAINED: SP Jose Ambriz (5.3); OF Pat Field (4.5); SP Steve McKeen (3.2); 2B Noah Johnson (2.8); OF Jose Monterroso (1.6); SP Seth Chase (1.4)
LOST: 3B Tim Bell (2.7); 2B Andy Lee (2.7); SP Rafael Flores (1.9)
PROJECTION: Ambriz is now out until mid-July, which hurts. Bad team should be better, but not much over their 66 wins from '56. Still floundering.

...

34. NO Zephyrs, -10.8
GAINED: minimal
LOST: OF Jordan Coronado (3.7); 3B Austin Reinwald (1.8); SP Marvin Diaz (1.6); RP Ryan Swan (1.1)
PROJECTION: Losses have been replaced from within, and they didn't really hurt anyway. Won 92 games and should again, but rival Cincy is much, much improved.

35. Boston, -11.2
GAINED: minimal
LOST: SP Chris Cole (3.2); SP Jose Palomino (2.7); 1B Jose Rodriguez (2.1); OF Jesus Monterroso (1.6)
PROJECTION: Likely to tread water from last year's 84 wins. Pitching is worse unless low-WAR newbies are much better than last year.

36. Washington, -14.7
GAINED: SP Jon Martinez (1.8)
LOST: SP Nick Light (7.1); OF Ryan Packer (6.1); RP Ryan Ratliff (1.8)
PROJECTION: Made few moves and didn't replace two big stars. Should be significantly down from last year's 83 wins.

(DIS)HONORABLE MENTION to Portland, for adding zero MLB players while losing two OF and a solid MR. Matching their 86-win total will be very hard.

......

PRESEASON PREDICTIONS

For starters, MLB says we'll win the West again, with 95 wins versus 90 for Texas. Detroit takes the Central (surprise) with 96 wins, while Miami tops the East with 92. Milwaukee joins Texas as wildcard teams. MLB also likes what I've done for our offense this off-season, putting us 2nd in runs and 3rd in home runs; but it doesn't care for my pitching staff, placing us 6th in runs allowed, nearly half an ERA point behind the top team, Miami. Some surprises: Chicago bounces back with 82 wins, tying a falling KC. NY, TB, and BAL all have winning seasons but don't come close to catching the Marlins in the East. Not surprising: Oakland is by far the worst AL team with just 58 wins.

The NL is also mostly repeat business: division winners are RIC, CIN, and LA, with PHI and WAS taking the wildcards. St Louis and Portland just miss the playoffs, while New Orleans slides to just 80 wins. Surprises: that NOZ figures to be so bad, while WAS makes the post-season after a terrible off-season. Also, Arizona slips to 79 wins after broadening their talent base, and Montreal--who did almost nothing over the winter--improves to 79 wins, nearly a 20-game betterment. Not surprising: CIN and PHI will have AL-worthy offenses, and LA and RIC will again have the class of pitching staffs, by a wide margin.

Individual highs to mention? How about a handful of 20-game winners in the AL; Milwaukee's Ricky Ayala hitting 58 HR; CIN's new "Bash Brothers" of Heath Lewellen and Ryan Boers knocking 56 and 50, respectively; and PHI's Conor MacLeod with 346 K. (These are all "usual suspects"-type guesses, not exactly going out on a limb.)

But what do I think about our chances? MLB's prediction of 95 wins seems about right: if we hit to our potential, we'll score a ton of runs. I'm a little concerned about our pitching, but I say that every year. Other than the unpredictably of serious injuries occuring, the things to watch for on offense are: how will a 34-year-old JJ Simmons hit; is Brian Hassell ready for everyday play in CF; 2B Bill Gamboa was better-than-advertised early, then worse-than-average late, so which one do we get this year; can C Jamie Collins finally show that trading away Mike Covington was worth it. On the mound, you've got: were Matt Waugh's spring training struggles just a phase; will rookie Curt Christensen earn his stripes; is having 4 LHP in the rotation a good thing; will the new bullpen do better than their 2056 counterparts. As for that last one: given that last year's pen was dead last in ERA for at least the first couple months of the season, I sure hope so...

09-01-2022, 06:32 PM	#476
Bub13 All Star Reserve Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Maine Posts: 748	2056-57 Off-Season, pt. 4 GET READY FOR OPENING DAY! Off-Season winners and losers, by WAR: NOTE: only players at/over 1.0 WAR shown 1. NY Yankees, +16.5 GAINED: SP Nick Light (7.1); OF Rick Logston (5.3); SP Shaun Ostrander (2.3); SP Justin Barrington (2.3); 1B Jose Rodriguez (2.1); RP Ryan Scheele (2.0); RP Ryan Ratliff (1.8); 2B Aaron Milleson (1.3) LOST: SP Jose Sedillo (5.2); RP John Starkey (1.2); 1B Andrew Taylor (1.0); RP Jay Buck (1.0) PROJECTION: Better than their 69-93 season from '56, but the infield still won't hit for much. Pitching and OF are much improved. 2. SF Giants, +10.8 GAINED: OF Jordan Coronado (3.7); SP Elijah Bragg (3.3); SP Jaden Buchanan (2.2) LOST: minimal PROJECTION: Pitching is better, and hitting is too if only for not chasing too many high $$$ old guys. Won 71 last year, should win more this time. 3. Montreal, +9.5 GAINED: SP Jose Ambriz (5.3); OF Pat Field (4.5); SP Steve McKeen (3.2); 2B Noah Johnson (2.8); OF Jose Monterroso (1.6); SP Seth Chase (1.4) LOST: 3B Tim Bell (2.7); 2B Andy Lee (2.7); SP Rafael Flores (1.9) PROJECTION: Ambriz is now out until mid-July, which hurts. Bad team should be better, but not much over their 66 wins from '56. Still floundering. ... 34. NO Zephyrs, -10.8 GAINED: minimal LOST: OF Jordan Coronado (3.7); 3B Austin Reinwald (1.8); SP Marvin Diaz (1.6); RP Ryan Swan (1.1) PROJECTION: Losses have been replaced from within, and they didn't really hurt anyway. Won 92 games and should again, but rival Cincy is much, much improved. 35. Boston, -11.2 GAINED: minimal LOST: SP Chris Cole (3.2); SP Jose Palomino (2.7); 1B Jose Rodriguez (2.1); OF Jesus Monterroso (1.6) PROJECTION: Likely to tread water from last year's 84 wins. Pitching is worse unless low-WAR newbies are much better than last year. 36. Washington, -14.7 GAINED: SP Jon Martinez (1.8) LOST: SP Nick Light (7.1); OF Ryan Packer (6.1); RP Ryan Ratliff (1.8) PROJECTION: Made few moves and didn't replace two big stars. Should be significantly down from last year's 83 wins. (DIS)HONORABLE MENTION to Portland, for adding zero MLB players while losing two OF and a solid MR. Matching their 86-win total will be very hard. ...... PRESEASON PREDICTIONS For starters, MLB says we'll win the West again, with 95 wins versus 90 for Texas. Detroit takes the Central (surprise) with 96 wins, while Miami tops the East with 92. Milwaukee joins Texas as wildcard teams. MLB also likes what I've done for our offense this off-season, putting us 2nd in runs and 3rd in home runs; but it doesn't care for my pitching staff, placing us 6th in runs allowed, nearly half an ERA point behind the top team, Miami. Some surprises: Chicago bounces back with 82 wins, tying a falling KC. NY, TB, and BAL all have winning seasons but don't come close to catching the Marlins in the East. Not surprising: Oakland is by far the worst AL team with just 58 wins. The NL is also mostly repeat business: division winners are RIC, CIN, and LA, with PHI and WAS taking the wildcards. St Louis and Portland just miss the playoffs, while New Orleans slides to just 80 wins. Surprises: that NOZ figures to be so bad, while WAS makes the post-season after a terrible off-season. Also, Arizona slips to 79 wins after broadening their talent base, and Montreal--who did almost nothing over the winter--improves to 79 wins, nearly a 20-game betterment. Not surprising: CIN and PHI will have AL-worthy offenses, and LA and RIC will again have the class of pitching staffs, by a wide margin. Individual highs to mention? How about a handful of 20-game winners in the AL; Milwaukee's Ricky Ayala hitting 58 HR; CIN's new "Bash Brothers" of Heath Lewellen and Ryan Boers knocking 56 and 50, respectively; and PHI's Conor MacLeod with 346 K. (These are all "usual suspects"-type guesses, not exactly going out on a limb.) But what do I think about our chances? MLB's prediction of 95 wins seems about right: if we hit to our potential, we'll score a ton of runs. I'm a little concerned about our pitching, but I say that every year. Other than the unpredictably of serious injuries occuring, the things to watch for on offense are: how will a 34-year-old JJ Simmons hit; is Brian Hassell ready for everyday play in CF; 2B Bill Gamboa was better-than-advertised early, then worse-than-average late, so which one do we get this year; can C Jamie Collins finally show that trading away Mike Covington was worth it. On the mound, you've got: were Matt Waugh's spring training struggles just a phase; will rookie Curt Christensen earn his stripes; is having 4 LHP in the rotation a good thing; will the new bullpen do better than their 2056 counterparts. As for that last one: given that last year's pen was dead last in ERA for at least the first couple months of the season, I sure hope so... Attached Images __________________ Introducing Your Hawaii Islanders!