Quote:
Originally Posted by HoustonGM
I'm not following. IRL stats influencing ratings year by year and the settings for controlling the effect partial seasons have on ratings aren't present in fictional/future sims.
I understand that the answer to the specific question "Does the engine limit outliers?" is "No" in that there isn't anything specifically coded to prevent outlier outcomes, but that doesn't mean that there isn't a part of the engine that's causing what I and others have noticed regarding top level starting pitcher performance.
|
There’s not really a mechanism to do this, at least regarding LTMs, is the thing. The process of coming up with those is pretty transparent and has been the same for like a decade…
- The game sims a season on the “night” (when you click to finish the day) of Opening Day. That sim uses whoever is currently on the roster in the roles you’ve set and with no injuries.
- The game goes in and checks the league totals against what the league totals are supposed to be (this is on a rate basis, not an absolute one of course). If there were 10% too many HRs, the game will set the LTM for homers to 10% lower and so on.
- The game does this process 2 more times for 3 sims in total.
The LTM side of things doesn’t really “care” if there are people 2 or 3 standard deviations from the norm so long as the totals themselves come out right.
As noted, I have my theories as to why elite pitchers are under represented, although perhaps over representing them in the initial draft pool, which seems to be what OOTPD has come up with to fix this, will also rectify this issue. There’s also that anecdote by Bill James from back in the day that most pitchers have the stuff to be successful but are either too young, are pitching injured, or are recovering from an injury. Perhaps having more top level guys up front will make that anecdote more of a reality.