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Old 06-21-2022, 12:08 PM   #16
NoOne
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i shoudln't have said for only fictional games..

i wouldn't autocalc every year unless a major shift in player talent is occuring -- like a change of eras or real modern platers->fictionally created, and only during the meat of the turnover.. in this case, more significant in the middle, small at start/end. every 3-5 years or more... and if they are well callibrated you don't have to do it at all.

if already midstream on a game, just tweak modifiers till you get what you want. with home runs, expect a +/- 10-12% variance in any year due to different player talent levels possible and an unchanging set of totals/modifiers. Some things, like SB, have more volatility. think this stuff is on a curve, so you may see different variance with smaller v larger totals. this info is good for a modern day or similar league.

if you see a hr total more than 10-12% above what you expect, that's a good time to reduce HR modifier a bit... otherwise it could be fine and more info needed. at that point it's just peace of mind as opposed to a major impact on a single player's output.
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