Quote:
Originally Posted by Syd Thrift
ERA is tough since it’s a third order statistic. What do K, BB, HR, and BABIP rates look like? It’s possible - not saying that’s what happened, just that I don’t know - that you’ve got a top tier Stuff guy who plays in front of a bad defense, for example. I know defense has a pretty big impact on the game at the moment, perhaps too large of an impact vs. real life (also, IRL guys who strike out a lot of batters have a small but not insubstantial boost to their BABIPs - IIRC Nolan Ryan’s was around 10 points lower than it should have been for his career - and I’m not 100% sure OOTP models that).
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I know this is somewhat off-topic, but I really do think that now that we've basically all figured out that RBIs aren't a useful metric and most people seem to have understood that Batting Average is either obsolete or at minimum not nearly as important as a catch-all "Batting Champion" metric as we used to think, that ERA is absolutely going to be the next domino to fall, and that by 2030 people will think it's absolutely wild that anyone used to judge a pitcher's performance by it.