Quote:
Originally Posted by ChessSafari
All I ever seem to get in my standard packs is nearly worthless LIVE cards. My EV has been more like 20%. Just bad luck I guess.
The gold packs, on the other hand, have been positive EV since the release of the new group of Negro League cards.
I don't doubt your numbers. But I know my own experience has been different.
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Your experience makes sense. Gold and Silver packs will alway be more reliable in giving you noticeable returns. When you buy a Gold pack you are guaranteed at least one card which at minimum can recover 1000 PPs. Standard packs will be more frustrating as you can go through several packs of practically no value. In the long term it is the increased number of shots you get at Perfect and Diamond cards that boosts the average.
If I get some time and am bored then I will see where things stand currently. I’m guessing that the expected value from all packs has decreased somewhat since I first ran the numbers.