Quote:
Originally Posted by sprague
One key pitching stat ignored is ERA.
2 pitchers can both have 200 innings, give up 190 hits, 22 home runs and strikeout 190...but one ERA will be 2.95 the other 3.50. The difference (discounting the fielding aspect) is one pitcher gives up hits and home runs with RISP while the better pitcher bears down and gets outs so gives up less runs.
And of course the real key is how many runs does a pitcher give up.
|
Nowadays we know that's mostly noise, not signal, so it makes sense that OOTP doesn't consider that. ERA tells you very little about a pitcher's performance and even less how about well the pitcher is likely to perform in the future compared to even 'basic' stats like FIP.