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Old 05-28-2022, 01:07 PM   #1
uruguru
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Join Date: May 2022
Posts: 1,237
The Sandy Koufax/Nolan Ryan problem

One thing I've definitely noticed is the inability of truly dominant pitchers to have dominant games.

I have run many historical sims and have yet to have one where Sandy Koufax or Nolan Ryan throw a no-hitter, even though they have appropriately dominant seasons. Mind boggling! I'm assuming this is because pitcher "stuff" is constant from game to game, after all why wouldn't it be?

This results in no-hitters in OOTP being more random, and nobody like a Koufax or Ryan (or even a more normally average pitcher like Don Wilson) becoming known for incredibly dominant games. As a reminder, Nolan Ryan had 7 no-hitters, 12 one-hitters, 18 two-hitters and 31 three-hitters in his career. This is a real world aberration that OOTP does not model.

I suspect that irl pitcher stuff varies from game to game centered around some baseline level that is reflected in a pitcher's seasonal averages.

Maybe it would make sense for a pitcher's stuff to fluctuate from game to game such that the really good pitchers (i.e. Koufax/Ryan) would (when their stuff is peaking) have greater chances to have game where they are basically unhittable. This is sort of a real thing in baseball that doesn't seem to be modeled in OOTP.

Last edited by uruguru; 05-28-2022 at 02:13 PM.
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