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Old 05-24-2022, 11:34 AM   #2
Marinersfan51
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Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 777
This has been an ongoing thing where there will only be a pitcher in the top IFA prospects every few years. It kinda matches up with reality where the top July 2 guys are almost all hitters. I think that is because of the inherent volatility of young pitching relative to hitting. Similarly there are a lot fewer first round high school pitchers compared to high school hitters in the draft IRL.

Some of the lower rated pitchers will develop into better prospects, but it is very rare for the top IFA prospect to be a pitcher. Most will add velocity as they age, which will increase their stuff potential, but the risk with young pitching is huge, which suppresses their overall potential.

Maybe there should be a greater percentage of the IFA pool that is pitchers though, since it seems like it is usually less than 20% pitchers and maybe that should be more in the 30-40% range, but I haven't looked into it that closely.
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