[professor ape]

I’ve been tinkering with a sheet to calculate the expected value (EV) of packs based on the L10s of the various cards from a data dump earlier this morning. It’s not perfect but I have been able to pretty well identify the packable cards since reward cards from missions and tournaments would skew the results. I’ve done the calculations based on the published pull rates for cards (1:5 for Bronze, 1:20 for Silver, etc) and assuming a 70/30 split between Live and non-Live cards at all levels. I’m also looking at this from both the viewpoint of the EV if you keep the cards and if you are selling them with the 10% tax.

Standard packs have an EV of 1186 based on the average card values and 1013 based on the median. If you are keeping the cards then at 1000PP per pack, that is a 119% efficiency based on the average L10 and 101% based on the median. If you are selling the cards then the efficiency drops to 107% and 91% respectively.

Silver packs have an EV of 2176 based on the average L10 and 1795 when calculated off of the median L10. At 2000PP per pack their efficiency is about 10% lower than the standard packs at 109% based on average L10 and 90% based on median L10. Those drop to 98% and 81% if you are selling the cards with the tax.

At their current 3000PP price Gold packs are just a bit less efficient than Silver packs at 104% and 89% based on the average and median L10s respectively, 94% and 80% after the tax if you are selling the cards.