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Fangraphs is saying that there isn't a generational talent in this year's draft. Within any situation, some players will develop and rise to the top. A few examples off of the top of my head are: Mike Trout was the 25th pick in the 2009 draft, while in 1988, Mike Piazza waited until the 62nd round to be selected.
I honestly think that the draft here is more realistic. It is possible that this year has a lot more guys projected with a high floor but a lower ceiling. Some years just don't have as much elite, top end talent....while in other years they are very top heavy without a lot of depth. When teams pick in real life, they look for translatable skills. What talents and attributes stand out to you (instead of just an overall rating)? I bet you can still find guys who will stand out. I've actually turned the overall ratings for current and potential because I do believe it can blind me into not looking at individual skills. I also feel that the draft pool would be lower since the overall rating is heavily influenced by defense. Most players in the draft pool aren't fully developed as a defender, which would also limit their projections.
Bottom line: Players will always rise up to the challenge. MLB is not going to fall off of a cliff.
Last edited by 1991Twins; 05-13-2022 at 08:45 PM.
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