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Southern_Aristocrat · 05-12-2022, 09:12 AM

I have 2898 cards in my deck at the moment. I've also sold every Live bronze, Silver, Gold and Diamond card I've ever got (hundreds upon hundreds) and a bunch of Live irons. I only bought about half a dozen cards, all for my Iron tournament roster.

I'm pulling garbage, the only thing that kept me ripping packs was inflated Live prices and a handful of tournament wins. I've pulled 4 OK diamond historical cards and 4 garbage historical diamond cards (you know the ones where you'd rather play a silver card) in that whole time. Never had a perfect card.

So lets do the math on perfect cards since it's the easiest, but based on just the 2898 cards in my deck (since I have no idea how many hundreds of live cards I sold). If I remember the calculation correctly the chance of someone not getting a perfect card after 2898 cards is:

(0.999)^(2898) = 5.5%

In fact, the chance of getting multiple perfects in that many cards is way higher than that. Anyhow as a free player this was my lottery and I lost.

Thanks for letting me rant, hope yer not having as bad luck as I am.

I

05-12-2022, 09:12 AM	#3
Southern_Aristocrat Minors (Single A) Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 61 Infractions: 0/1 (1)	I have 2898 cards in my deck at the moment. I've also sold every Live bronze, Silver, Gold and Diamond card I've ever got (hundreds upon hundreds) and a bunch of Live irons. I only bought about half a dozen cards, all for my Iron tournament roster. I'm pulling garbage, the only thing that kept me ripping packs was inflated Live prices and a handful of tournament wins. I've pulled 4 OK diamond historical cards and 4 garbage historical diamond cards (you know the ones where you'd rather play a silver card) in that whole time. Never had a perfect card. So lets do the math on perfect cards since it's the easiest, but based on just the 2898 cards in my deck (since I have no idea how many hundreds of live cards I sold). If I remember the calculation correctly the chance of someone not getting a perfect card after 2898 cards is: (0.999)^(2898) = 5.5% In fact, the chance of getting multiple perfects in that many cards is way higher than that. Anyhow as a free player this was my lottery and I lost. Thanks for letting me rant, hope yer not having as bad luck as I am. I Last edited by Southern_Aristocrat; 05-12-2022 at 09:16 AM.