I usually assume that something might have changed between when the AI makes the counter and when you see it that changes the equation somewhat. I know you might immediately click Accept when you get the email, but I assume there are lots of different sequential steps when the game sims from June 11 to June 12, and that maybe a trade offer is made in Step X, then in Step Y>X a player is waived or injured or whatever that changes the evaluation for the AI GM.
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