I mean, as of 2018 the owners each receive over $200M per year from revenue-sharing and national TV deals alone, before selling a single ticket, concession, piece of merch, their own local TV deal, or any of the new league-wide deals since then (gambling, the new Apple deal, etc).
So if the owners have a floor of $200M in national revenue and no cap to their possible earnings, is it so crazy to suggest that a true fair 50-50 deal would give the players a similar floor with no cap?
Here's some comparisons for example:
- NBA Salary Cap: 2011 $58M, 2021 $112M
- NFL Salary Cap: 2011 $120M, 2022 $208M
- MLB CBT: 2011 $178M, 2022 (Owners $220M, Players $238M)
Sure looks to me like neither offer is remotely in line with what it would be if it almost doubled from 2011, like MLB revenues did and the caps in the other leagues did. A CBT of almost $300M for 2022 would probably be the number if both sides wanted to keep it exactly in line with the previous deal (that everyone agrees was very pro-owner).