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I will also add that it has been a multi year issue with how contact works. It is like an arms race that keeps resetting the baseline. At this point, if you aren't running a high BABIP (i.e. low power) high contact card with high avoidK they will be lucky to hit .200. No amount of power within reason will offset that. Power is almost detrimental at this point, because it comes directly at the cost of getting on base (see above BABIP formula).
Take Babe Ruth as an example. His ratings are insane - 124 contact and 219 power. AvoidK on the low side at 91, but 116 eye. Looking at PeL where you'll find the highest concentration of Babe Ruth's, these are the BAs in full years on record with teams that have him:
.214 (-0.1 WAR in 573 PA)
.187 (-0.2 WAR in 333 PA)
.215 (.9 WAR in 388 PA)
These seasons were all at PeL running against teams that know how to use park factors and have the best pitching, etc.
He is sort of the poster child of how power sucks. He still hits a ton of HRs and he has slightly below average (for diamond+) defense. He also has the highest contact rating of any card in the game (at least ones in the database) and still can't hit over .220.
Last edited by ncap99; 11-29-2021 at 05:50 PM.
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